Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo to score first vs. Colombia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa411528180e03b2ac7fd25e8fea037b62bb0510b48d264b1d8998a82328ef1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,334$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 25c | 1,286$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.38 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 73c | 1,127$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.87 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 719.55$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 74c | 599.97$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Yes | 18c | 543.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 510$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 508.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 11c | 495.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 26c | 385.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…348fbacked Yes | 26c | 352.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 21c | 298.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…75dbbacked Yes | 19c | 257.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 188.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…7b98backed Yes | 11c | 142.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 126.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 106.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Yes | 25c | 106.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…972fbacked Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…1187backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9241backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 75.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Yes | 29c | 67.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…5180backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Yes | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 76c | 47.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 72c | 45.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…78dcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 73c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 24.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…ac18backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo to score first vs. Colombia?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?Yes won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.