Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34e4e4106d1e22dc4bf069253e086c489b5c9f2a2f39723febb94fd8c44913f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 39,823$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…9cd0backed Yes | 9c | 1,098$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Yes | 15c | 961.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 8c | 504.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 8c | 443.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…22f7backed Yes | 24c | 407.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…5e86backed Yes | 32c | 407.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 313.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Yes | 41c | 244.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes | 21c | 220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 24c | 204.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 191.02$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…6aa2backed Yes | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 179.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes | 24c | 168.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 152.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…7151backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 141.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 122.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 57c | 100.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…1f56backed Yes | 39c | 88.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Yes | 23c | 82.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 56c | 50.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 48.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 54c | 40.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 57c | 39.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6ebcbacked Yes | 47c | 31.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. DR Congo?Yes won
- DR Congo to score first vs. Colombia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.