TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNO MILLEof Keyd, UNO MILLE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd57c6,602$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed UNO MILLE41c1,524$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.171,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed UNO MILLE43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.3880942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd57c1,369$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.412,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Keyd58c988.28$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.412,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed UNO MILLE43c984.71$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.4319340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed UNO MILLE42c946.77$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Keyd57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed UNO MILLE43c671.54$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9711151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Keyd58c635.8$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.0250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd40c574.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.985,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked UNO MILLE43c526.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed UNO MILLE44c516.58$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2138841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked UNO MILLE55c505.37$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1289248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked UNO MILLE42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29046447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed UNO MILLE44c465.24$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.422,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked UNO MILLE43c459.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.952,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed UNO MILLE43c453.93$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7235839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked UNO MILLE52c401.21$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.673,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed Keyd58c398$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.114042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked UNO MILLE42c364.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2914441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE62c354.77$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.567,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Keyd57c349.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed UNO MILLE45c348.04$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8233950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd58c345.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd33c289.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…0eb0backed UNO MILLE45c288.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…84a8backed UNO MILLE45c279.75$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked UNO MILLE72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7844675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5207…fe29backed UNO MILLE45c274.19$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6419…0287backed UNO MILLE46c265.19$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…6cb7backed UNO MILLE46c260.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd49c260.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.972,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed UNO MILLE43c258.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.146741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e0…79d7backed UNO MILLE45c256.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Keyd45c250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Keyd56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9947641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed UNO MILLE41c240.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked UNO MILLE42c234$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7213852.9%73 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Keyd59c223.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.199849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Keyd55c223$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6574054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed UNO MILLE42c221$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.16625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed UNO MILLE42c219$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.041,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed UNO MILLE42c213.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.610143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed UNO MILLE42c208.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.191,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked UNO MILLE43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11458745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked UNO MILLE42c197.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.727150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed UNO MILLE43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.32,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed UNO MILLE43c187.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.441,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd32c183$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.322,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Keyd56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked UNO MILLE43c177.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9634140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Keyd59c177$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.431,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Keyd57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd39c174.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked UNO MILLE59c170.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0737140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Keyd59c169.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed UNO MILLE57c167.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.474,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd31c161.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.472,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd32c147.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd58c147.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.292,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed UNO MILLE43c139.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7939245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked Keyd51c131.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.377350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Keyd59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.726650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Keyd55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.514057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd46c129.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.462,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Keyd56c129$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6655941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0be…4949backed UNO MILLE39c125.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed UNO MILLE51c124.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6523161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Keyd34c124.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.371,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked UNO MILLE73c122.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4231845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked UNO MILLE41c121.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6325042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed UNO MILLE40c120.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.165747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Keyd59c114.19$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2822049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keyd30c112.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.972,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Keyd59c105.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6834750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked Keyd49c103.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5180%0 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Keyd57c103$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6521950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Keyd57c101.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7414344.1%63 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Keyd41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4128434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Keyd55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…8c4dbacked UNO MILLE45c97.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.972540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed UNO MILLE65c97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3445754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Keyd32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Keyd22c89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2675833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UNO MILLE75c85.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.094,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked UNO MILLE56c85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE59c84.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f8…f1a7backed Keyd59c83.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed UNO MILLE75c73.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.986040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed UNO MILLE43c71.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8816754.5%91 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd52c68.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.322,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed UNO MILLE40c65.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.237944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed UNO MILLE77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0452369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked UNO MILLE68c61.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8942255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed UNO MILLE43c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.241437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Keyd20c59.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked UNO MILLE46c56.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4351252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd56c53.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd49c52.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.996,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.