Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd26e6607a2e9ae6621d192a233590a9e4cdf2ec970b7ffb1281cfecd07cebe86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 4,201$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.49 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,720$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…9613backed Yes | 60c | 1,458$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 1,191$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 43c | 1,037$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.01 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 43c | 979.25$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.95 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…be06backed Yes | 55c | 974.71$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 41c | 903.6$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.21 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 842.14$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.91 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 42c | 699.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 43c | 599.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 37c | 508.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 63c | 478.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 63c | 470.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ddc4backed Yes | 58c | 454.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 414.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 56c | 391.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 36c | 375.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 42c | 348.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 63c | 317.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked No | 43c | 299.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 58c | 205.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 55c | 201.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 58c | 173.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…1d84backed Yes | 58c | 169.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 168.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 59c | 168.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…ecf4backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 58c | 145.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 42c | 118.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ab…1fd2backed Yes | 61c | 108.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 39c | 89.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…5364backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…c74fbacked Yes | 56c | 86.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…abbdbacked Yes | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…3ae3backed Yes | 62c | 84.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…bf22backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…ef39backed Yes | 57c | 69.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…2d55backed Yes | 57c | 57.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 39c | 55.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 58c | 52.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f1a7backed No | 43c | 47.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…5688backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…ff43backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 38.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…5e7ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…5ab8backed Yes | 59c | 33.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…9b5abacked Yes | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 40c | 33.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…8974backed Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…8055backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 36c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…e751backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…108dbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?this page
- Czechia to score first vs. Mexico?No won
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.