Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia to score first vs. Mexico?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c0fe046262c686733f1bf64c8e21d19295eaeec8d0a22f6b4fd044e2944af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 4,201$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.3 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 3,191$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.92 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…f94abacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 1,370$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 975.97$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 740.92$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…29d3backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed No | 73c | 499.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 371.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…36b2backed Yes | 35c | 287.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Yes | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 37c | 237.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 64c | 221$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 208.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…1dfbbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 65c | 199$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 195.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 77c | 192.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 33c | 156.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed No | 69c | 145.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 112.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 63c | 100.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 63c | 86.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…79b9backed Yes | 36c | 83.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…1e5cbacked Yes | 37c | 64.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…87edbacked Yes | 36c | 58.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…504fbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…69c3backed Yes | 30c | 52.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…92c1backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 35.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…0d48backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 63c | 30.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia to score first vs. Mexico?this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Neither team to score first?No won
- Mexico to score first vs. Czechia?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.