MLB · resolved market
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3298fef905b679143f38205f6e2ea107cbc3b2ed4d4c19a93771ce113ac7859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 42c | 5,717$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.71 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 56c | 2,763$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.12 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed No | 55c | 2,587$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.62 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed No | 58c | 2,248$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed No | 57c | 1,858$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.41 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed No | 58c | 1,724$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 45c | 1,607$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.58 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 42c | 1,279$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.55 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,187$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.56 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 44c | 1,168$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 44c | 960$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 58c | 915.75$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 43c | 891.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.67 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 57c | 875.7$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.67 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked No | 59c | 841.66$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Yes | 43c | 557.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 521.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.88 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked No | 58c | 519.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 512$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Yes | 45c | 453.87$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed No | 56c | 368.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed No | 58c | 366.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 353.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 268$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed No | 58c | 257.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 43c | 238.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed No | 56c | 219$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed No | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked No | 57c | 183.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked No | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed No | 56c | 148.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed No | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed No | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed No | 57c | 132.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 45c | 101.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 73c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked No | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 63c | 96.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 43c | 96.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 80.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed No | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 42c | 70.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed No | 57c | 69.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Yes | 48c | 54.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked Yes | 44c | 52.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 45.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Yes | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…5a37backed No | 56c | 44.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed No | 57c | 43.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Yes | 37c | 41.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked Yes | 44c | 41.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Yes | 42c | 37.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 56c | 30.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…a236backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Yes | 44c | 23.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.