Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868968634c6e23bc1bb010f1f7960073d72f1e2f9e39fe00c7e00e80c593dac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 55c | 19,504$10,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,727.16 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 17,791$8,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,183.67 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 16,799$8,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,838.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 10,093$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.77 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 10,015$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.57 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 9,770$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.46 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 7,574$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.54 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 7,058$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.84 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 57c | 4,131$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.07 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 3,162$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.92 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 2,567$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.62 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 1,317$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 1,067$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.68 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 45c | 1,007$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 825.12$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 642.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 578.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 549.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 506.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 459.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 349.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 321.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 265.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 251.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 240.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 56c | 222.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Wisconsin Badgers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 199.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 198.34$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 57c | 191.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 147.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 140.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 123.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 119.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 116.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 109.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 100.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 92.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 46c | 83.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 79.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 41c | 77.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 73.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 68.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 57c | 59.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 53.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 42.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…144bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…6d60backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 34.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 27.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 25.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…3afabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.