Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a319867cb6f5154de2690ac62ce164b7e774f1bc41139b284f9ea4805d9cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 24,700$11,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,943.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 23,928$11,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,737.45 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 23,771$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,360.81 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 16,673$8,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,836.69 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 53c | 15,452$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.18 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 48c | 6,944$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.67 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 52c | 2,478$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 48c | 2,024$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.39 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,555$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 748.14$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 462.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 416.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 413.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 53c | 396.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…a26dbacked Under | 53c | 108.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 103.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 90.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 53c | 57.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 48c | 45.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 21.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.