Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f967e46caef37100d4a9b04409606e2f3a0f2f961dffa8436f7b7b41871ef35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 14,219$7,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,393.09 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 5,974$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.36 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 4,643$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.4 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.1 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 1,345$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 954.86$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.53 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 654$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 619.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.94 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 446$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 341.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 280.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 208.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 198.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 153.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 116.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 106.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 105.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…1a2dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 74.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 70.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 69.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 66.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 58.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 41.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 41.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 31.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…3c57backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…6d60backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 29.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 26.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-3.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-2.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.