Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74853f251575bb8db81af861085f43689a9393f10c252e0d2e9a87ed04c2506c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 57,471$30,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,459.54 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 27,368$12,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,504.79 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 26,824$13,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,163.59 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 20,397$10,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.14 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 13,000$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 10,384$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 9,607$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 9,477$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.61 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 8,301$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.42 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 4,957$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 4,956$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.9 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 3,889$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.17 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.88 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 2,311$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.33 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 1,914$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 1,820$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 1,697$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 35c | 1,666$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.39 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 1,582$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 1,388$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,297$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 998.95$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 991.28$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 660.84$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.03 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 530.82$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.49 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 515.45$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 497.93$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.96 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 3c | 475$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 454.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 447.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 434.17$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 403.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 379.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 375.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Duke Blue Devils | 61c | 343.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 248.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 238.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 232$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 214.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 178.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 136.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 118.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 107.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 107.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…50bbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 102.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…695dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 97.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…7df5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 95.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 90.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 59c | 84.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 77.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…d075backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 77.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 77.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 49c | 59.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 57.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 50.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 49.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…6656backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 47.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 42.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 39.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…f41cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 45c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 30.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…45e7backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…a8e6backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 28.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)this page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State WolfpackDuke Blue Devils won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 148.5Over won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 149.5Over won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.