Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da628d106e226083b1f4179f78a89ca73f70b6c18a92e14370801e228034555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 22,107$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.34 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 3,333$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 13c | 2,859$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 2,538$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 2,073$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 1,936$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 1,688$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 1,581$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.74 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 1,529$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 1,222$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 14c | 1,179$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 1,052$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 1,006$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 999.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 15c | 993.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 947.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 15c | 904.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 751.35$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.82 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 690.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 615.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…7b0abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 3c | 603.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 559.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 552.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 526.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf432…26acbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 435.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 408.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 15c | 399.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 398.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 382.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 365.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 331.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 311.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 299.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 289.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 14c | 281.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 280.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 219.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 217.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 199.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…31b7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 186.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 13c | 171.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 149.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…74a1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 142.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…d83cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 138.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 134.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 122.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 119.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 116.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 116.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 109.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 104.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 78.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 20c | 72.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 72.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 68.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 21c | 64.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 53.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackthis page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 148.5Over won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 149.5Over won
- Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-9.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.