Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc8a19ce3c67ad3a9075f42d7788571b7542b9c0e460ddad07bc3afdd37589a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Miss Rebelsof Texas A&M Aggies, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 16,502$8,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168.49 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 15,712$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,786.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 8,101$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.04 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 7,875$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 5,559$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 3,347$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 3,269$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 2,300$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.95 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 1,800$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 1,086$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 984.9$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.15 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 802.5$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…48b9backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 704.22$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 362.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 314.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 296.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 98.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 69.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 29.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…07aabacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 52c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5)this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M Aggies won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 153.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 154.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.