Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11bb53e366f0d5c7818d9df7a0fad50fc274ec0334b302797b9acf18e0d415e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 54c | 39,711$21,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,363.59 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 30,169$13,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,785.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 46c | 7,258$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 6,433$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 4,147$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.19 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 2,904$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.84 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 2,802$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.84 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 54c | 2,150$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.71 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 881.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 42c | 616$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 504$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 437$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 242$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 43c | 221.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 55c | 221.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 219$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 196.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 156.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 58c | 146.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 135.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 111.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Under | 63c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 55c | 95.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 58c | 62.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 55c | 51.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 39.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Under | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 31.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 153.5this page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M Aggies won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 154.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-10.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5)Ole Miss Rebels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.