Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66e70f9c298c744537dc3c66e625794922a980ba8d38ef3fe33ba2d178219b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Pegula, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Pegula | 36c | 12,579$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.53 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Eala | 64c | 10,966$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.96 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Eala | 40c | 10,235$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.77 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Eala | 49c | 9,968$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.96 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Pegula | 52c | 9,320$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.05 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pegula | 37c | 2,591$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.4 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Eala | 63c | 1,320$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Eala | 40c | 1,111$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Eala | 60c | 878.14$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Pegula | 36c | 754.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pegula | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pegula | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pegula | 39c | 599.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Pegula | 40c | 452.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Eala | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eala | 61c | 367.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Eala | 63c | 351.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pegula | 38c | 337.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Eala | 63c | 316.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Eala | 62c | 307.21$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Eala | 64c | 224.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Eala | 49c | 205.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Eala | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Eala | 61c | 183.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Pegula | 72c | 126.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Pegula | 39c | 114.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ec…8ce1backed Eala | 62c | 113.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Pegula | 56c | 109.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Eala | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Eala | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pegula | 39c | 85.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Pegula | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Pegula | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…ee62backed Pegula | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Eala | 49c | 58.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…3b0bbacked Eala | 63c | 52.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…e2f7backed Eala | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Pegula | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Eala | 63c | 38.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Eala | 63c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Eala | 46c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Eala | 63c | 31.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Pegula | 51c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Eala | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Pegula | 58c | 26.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…2682backed Eala | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Eala | 63c | 26.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Eala | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Eala | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Eala | 61c | 22.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Eala | 63c | 22.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Eala | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Jessica Pegula vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
- Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs EalaPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs EalaEala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.