Tennis · resolved market
Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x764035ca08813b95d55eebbd6748d300283adb1527594c20d28eef7a262b28e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 18,000$9,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.54 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 14,720$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.34 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 45c | 1,967$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 56c | 1,251$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,251$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 45c | 1,163$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.27 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under | 45c | 1,079$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.64 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Over | 54c | 556.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 318$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 56c | 313.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 50c | 297.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 45c | 250.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…10f0backed Over | 56c | 207.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 40c | 178.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 56c | 172.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 56c | 172.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 56c | 172.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 45c | 166.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 56c | 165.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 56c | 133.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Over | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 56c | 94.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 90.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…93cebacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 56c | 87.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 56c | 86.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 56c | 86.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 55c | 85.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Over | 52c | 83.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…de7ebacked Over | 56c | 73.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 56c | 72.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 56c | 68.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 56c | 62.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Under | 45c | 58.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Over | 52c | 55.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…f47bbacked Under | 45c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 48c | 52.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 39c | 49.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 45c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 61c | 42.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 52c | 37.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 45c | 36.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…99b3backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 56c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 54c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Over | 56c | 23.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 21.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Jessica Pegula vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
- Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs EalaPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs EalaEala won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)Eala won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.