MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3572a5c804c29f7541155d8d7a7d28595057f3e58ab85b7eb70c5b6985debd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 14,681$8,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 43c | 11,697$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,029.58 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 10,089$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.04 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 56c | 9,047$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.56 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 54c | 5,942$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.54 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 4,781$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.79 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 1,320$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.1 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 1,005$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.23 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 44c | 900.77$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 885.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.26 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 68c | 788$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 751$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 58c | 736.36$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 55c | 608.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 445.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 57c | 343.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 269.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 56c | 257.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 45c | 245.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 58c | 226.48$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 44c | 199.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 43c | 180.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Over | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 119.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 46c | 86.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 42c | 81.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…242bbacked Over | 57c | 71.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 42c | 61.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Over | 58c | 56.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 44c | 55.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 43.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 58c | 42.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 42.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 44c | 38.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…de35backed Over | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 54c | 31.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 55c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…d0a7backed Over | 54c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.