MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f651873af2a66edc15b2637e5317fe493cdf75ca9b5ec7bfa7fc80bbdc79a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Tampa Bay Rays, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 20,200$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.84 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 8,918$6,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 8,080$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.62 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 6,875$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 5,200$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 4,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 4,100$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 3,743$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 2,395$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,318$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.25 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 1,425$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,149$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 984.33$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.81 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 971.17$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.18 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 859.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 810.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 551.28$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 531.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 512.5$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 461.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 437.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 129.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 111.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 74.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 64.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 62.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 60.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 51.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 47.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 44.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 40.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 35.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 26.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.