MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc887eb0bb1101de626dedb82a936da598005a6764ed41c25d12a66601c7bc717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 48c | 197,916$95,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,916.32 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 154,528$80,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,354.49 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 52c | 93,368$48,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,551.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 34,551$16,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,966.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 10,479$4,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.61 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 8,497$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 7,388$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 7,222$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 4,469$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.5 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 2,895$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 49c | 2,678$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 2c | 2,637$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,256$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 57c | 2,021$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.9 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…9ea9backed Under | 52c | 1,916$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 11c | 1,438$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 51c | 1,085$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 909.15$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…e421backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 48c | 881.21$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.29 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 52c | 832.18$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.13 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 54c | 802.11$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.97 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 53c | 684.66$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 50c | 665$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 465.86$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 78c | 431.75$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 63c | 430.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 43c | 371.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 301.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 8c | 280.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 258.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 49c | 252.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 56c | 205.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 205.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Over | 56c | 198.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 57c | 195.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 180$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 48c | 178.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 12c | 162$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 55c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 132.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 46c | 121.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…1b5bbacked Under | 43c | 104.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 51c | 100.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 49c | 95.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 90.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 88.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 60c | 85.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 28c | 68.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 64.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 63.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 54c | 58.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 46c | 51.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…2a67backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 31c | 51.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…90f2backed Under | 47c | 47.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 45.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 43.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 51c | 43.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…0472backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 27c | 39.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 68c | 38.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 38.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 38.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 37.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Over | 73c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 38c | 28.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 62c | 28.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 21.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 55c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 74c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.