Mls · resolved market

Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ffa35c601cffd8f313b12bb2d9275408cf68d90e8a2bcd5062e9107df6b8de5

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $113,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	50c	67,931$34,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,088.11	355	50.4%179 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	50c	10,000$5,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,969.93	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	49c	9,859$4,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,869.76	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	51c	9,633$4,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,724.83	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under	50c	9,056$4,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,570.66	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.02	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	5,832$2,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,923.35	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	50c	4,993$2,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,496.37	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	4,530$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.05	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	50c	4,500$2,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,241.01	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	50c	4,445$2,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,236.79	200	43%86 W · 114 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	50c	4,400$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200.11	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under	50c	4,000$2,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,986.67	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785	263	45.2%119 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	51c	3,257$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,669.58	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.7wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+120.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	50c	1,685$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.59	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	1,498$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.12	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	50c	1,359$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.38	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	52c	1,245$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.16	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	47c	1,186$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.33	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	49c	1,174$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.26	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	49c	986.17$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.22	215	47.9%103 W · 112 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	50c	693.81$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.61	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	49c	523.37$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.92	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	36c	416.22$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.63	240	46.7%112 W · 128 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	104	50%52 W · 52 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	37c	393.13$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.44	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	49c	386.85$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.58	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over	52c	384.61$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	49c	381$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.31	557	50.1%279 W · 278 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	49c	381$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.31	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	364.67$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.35	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over	72c	311.28$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.08	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Over	51c	307.53$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.84	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Over	50c	299.88$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under	51c	292.51$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.33	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	68c	278.82$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.66	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under	51c	271.76$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.16	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	28c	259.93$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.61	366	46.7%171 W · 195 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	47c	250$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.5	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	50c	213.82$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.91	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under	49c	212$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.12	201	33.3%67 W · 134 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	51c	208.55$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.44	128	50%64 W · 64 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	13c	206.25$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	86	24.4%21 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under	52c	204.98$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.49	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	51c	201.45$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.63	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	50c	200.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.87	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd3…aeddbacked Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	150	60%90 W · 60 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over	15c	199.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	12c	179$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	26c	179$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	270	58.9%159 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	51c	178.98$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.7	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under	51c	174.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.75	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	49c	171.22$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.32	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over	51c	156.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	12c	153$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	444	47.3%210 W · 234 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	132.57$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.61	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	49c	131.78$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.59	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under	23c	110$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.77	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over	48c	108.79$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.22	61	63.9%39 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under	48c	106.12$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.16	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	51c	90$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	204	49%100 W · 104 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	23c	86.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	28c	78.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9578…1597backed Under	77c	75.14$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee0…4078backed Under	80c	75$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	79cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	17c	75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	74c	74.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.49	196	41.3%81 W · 115 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	49c	73.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	443	50.6%224 W · 219 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	27c	72.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	50c	64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	51c	62.48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	49c	57.35$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.18	149	57.7%86 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over	49c	57.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over	26c	52.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over	59c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	146	57.5%84 W · 62 L	+14.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	50c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	184	56.5%104 W · 80 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over	49c	48.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	58c	48.28$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	29c	47.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	51c	47.39$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	190	56.3%107 W · 83 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over	22c	47.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Over	49c	45.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	50c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	307	35.2%108 W · 199 L	-32.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	39c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.45	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	59.9%91 W · 61 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5this page
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 0.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Under won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5Under won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5Over won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Under won
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event