Golf · resolved market
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d19e1118a4f909d56aa761d5466a07f6856ab78cc3822e1c47d5a2ac8995063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 27c | 12,533$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.47 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 73c | 5,011$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 4,340$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.1 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 10c | 1,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,018$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 73c | 950$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 7c | 342.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Yes | 8c | 293.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…9f0abacked Yes | 8c | 261.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 258.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 11c | 216.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 75c | 144.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 28c | 100.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8064…cb34backed Yes | 34c | 43.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…bd3cbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic?this page
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Kevin Yu win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Kristoffer Ventura win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Luke Clanton win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Matt Wallace win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic?Yes won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Patrick Fishburn win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Peter Malnati win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.