TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,550 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked No55c11,160$6,187 inLost-$6,187.264928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes63c7,290$4,600 inWon+$2,690.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c4,014$1,198 inWon+$2,815.513030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No19c2,851$542 inLost-$541.986241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes44c1,930$840 inWon+$1,089.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes47c1,237$580 inWon+$657.524951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No43c935.41$405 inLost-$405.238756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No57c765.1$436 inLost-$435.5112057.5%69 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes68c600$410 inWon+$1901118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes40c539.06$215 inWon+$324.422441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…712fbacked Yes27c434.04$117 inWon+$317.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+271%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No55c413.99$227 inLost-$227.057062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes9c355.23$31 inWon+$324.665315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No23c217.4$51 inLost-$50.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f6…a384backed Yes10c205.5$20 inWon+$185.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+927.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed No8c193$16 inLost-$15.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes77c76$58 inWon+$17.863327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Yes76c57$43 inWon+$13.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes47c49.4$23 inWon+$26.374337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fd…bd3cbacked No51c40$20 inLost-$20.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes49c30.65$15 inWon+$15.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes75c29$22 inWon+$7.145540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.