Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Kempen/Panova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a59ed7ee71e8cd805d80516054e582b0c45eeb827cc80eaabeb898bf55f9fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kempen/Panovaof Hsieh/Ostapenko, Kempen/Panova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Kempen/Panova | 54c | 2,486$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.9 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 51c | 2,079$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.57 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Kempen/Panova | 52c | 1,049$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.06 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 46c | 666.47$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.35 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 45c | 493$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kempen/Panova | 30c | 354.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 71c | 322.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Kempen/Panova | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kempen/Panova | 30c | 261.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 45c | 261.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kempen/Panova | 47c | 180.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kempen/Panova | 28c | 177.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 80c | 125.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Kempen/Panova | 34c | 114.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kempen/Panova | 20c | 92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Kempen/Panova | 18c | 87.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 57c | 52.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kempen/Panova | 48c | 48.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…0304backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 55c | 45.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…73efbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hsieh/Ostapenko | 44c | 36.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Kempen/Panova | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.