Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff54174a4e1a68cb5ff288056664139de774be33ee383ddcf8d943b3d39e44e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yue Yuanof Yue Yuan, Hanyu Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Yue Yuan | 66c | 17,205$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.56 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanyu Guo | 10c | 15,650$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanyu Guo | 3c | 8,883$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hanyu Guo | 11c | 5,811$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.75 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hanyu Guo | 34c | 5,092$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hanyu Guo | 6c | 3,036$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hanyu Guo | 35c | 3,000$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hanyu Guo | 35c | 3,000$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Hanyu Guo | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanyu Guo | 1c | 1,414$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hanyu Guo | 35c | 1,215$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Hanyu Guo | 34c | 1,192$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hanyu Guo | 34c | 1,156$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.89 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Yue Yuan | 61c | 957.38$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hanyu Guo | 12c | 712.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Hanyu Guo | 37c | 667.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Hanyu Guo | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Hanyu Guo | 4c | 614.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 472$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Yue Yuan | 75c | 451.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Hanyu Guo | 34c | 369$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hanyu Guo | 34c | 367$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hanyu Guo | 7c | 365.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Hanyu Guo | 19c | 260.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yue Yuan | 62c | 256.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…6b25backed Yue Yuan | 64c | 249.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Hanyu Guo | 21c | 226.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yue Yuan | 71c | 216$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hanyu Guo | 35c | 168$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Hanyu Guo | 11c | 156.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hanyu Guo | 34c | 147.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hanyu Guo | 9c | 121.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Hanyu Guo | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Hanyu Guo | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hanyu Guo | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Hanyu Guo | 36c | 76.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanyu Guo | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Hanyu Guo | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Hanyu Guo | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Hanyu Guo | 35c | 45.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Yue Yuan | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…b90bbacked Hanyu Guo | 36c | 33.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Yue Yuan | 66c | 32.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Yue Yuan | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yue Yuan | 65c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hanyu Guo | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…10e1backed Yue Yuan | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yue Yuan | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Yue Yuan | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guothis page
- Game Spread: Yuan (-1.5) vs Guo (+1.5)Yuan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.