WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e533c2b48577c7f35638d2d9d6bea93251de0f7c2fb153ab4327a5b935fef5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,421$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.44 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 54c | 2,000$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.77 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 43c | 1,966$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked New York Liberty | 43c | 807.28$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed New York Liberty | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Liberty | 51c | 596.57$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 510.58$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty | 51c | 483.94$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 369.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 359.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 293.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 276$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 261.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 261.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 256.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 243.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 234$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 231.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 209.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 73c | 206.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New York Liberty | 51c | 200.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 193.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 185.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 178.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 34c | 135.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 109.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 93.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed New York Liberty | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…bf62backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 44c | 91.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 48c | 90.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 47c | 87.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed New York Liberty | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Liberty | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 60.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…fa2bbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 54.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Liberty | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked New York Liberty | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 41.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed New York Liberty | 44c | 40.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Liberty | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 36.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty | 59c | 35.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 35.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 31.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ba7ebacked New York Liberty | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed New York Liberty | 60c | 28.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Seattle Storm | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked New York Liberty | 43c | 26.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.