WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4520cdfbfd13d46cf5bf9728387991906450ef956d73dd495ad77b1ab3e32b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 55c | 26,475$14,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,913.67 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 45c | 12,272$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Over | 45c | 6,100$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 45c | 4,941$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 45c | 3,660$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 55c | 3,043$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.48 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 2,033$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.84 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 1,925$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.34 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 1,024$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.92 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 988.37$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 9c | 793.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 650$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 625.25$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 9c | 503$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 351.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 276$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 45c | 200.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 187.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 170$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 154.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 152$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 45c | 147$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 120.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 111.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Under | 63c | 110.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 46c | 109.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…1f23backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 108.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 53c | 102.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 100.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 100.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 46c | 90.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 46c | 88.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 46c | 86.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 81.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 45c | 77.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 46c | 53.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 53.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…dbe7backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 47c | 44.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 35c | 43.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 42.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 40.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 38.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 45c | 32.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Over | 45c | 32.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 32.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 54c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 54c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 54c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed Under | 76c | 18.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 68c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.