WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eff810668909df369c89db999e077727218ab7d6f45342a1bb9a42eb7048cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,535$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,466$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.62 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Over | 54c | 1,466$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,034$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 12c | 802.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…1adcbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 65c | 262.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 29c | 229.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 47c | 211.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 12c | 181.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 173.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 13c | 171.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 47c | 120.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 52c | 91.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed Over | 55c | 90.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 44c | 76.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 62c | 60.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 56c | 60.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 24c | 57.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 51c | 56.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…754abacked Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 54c | 49.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 49.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 54c | 44.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 43c | 39.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 52c | 38.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 54c | 35.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 55c | 32.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 28.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 63c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…5599backed Under | 48c | 21.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 55c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.