WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232800de66042c78611e89f81c0fae21b0e695346b1a61484470ff5b84336f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 9,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 2,359$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.89 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 46c | 2,111$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.42 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed New York Liberty | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 51c | 1,400$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,216$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.23 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.29 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 1,060$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 926.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 512$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 475.42$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.96 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed New York Liberty | 48c | 327.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 276$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…cd28backed New York Liberty | 49c | 266.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 242$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…1adcbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 207.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 200.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed New York Liberty | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty | 7c | 148.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…722bbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 102.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed New York Liberty | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 47c | 93.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed New York Liberty | 52c | 60.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 47c | 44.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 52c | 44.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed New York Liberty | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed New York Liberty | 51c | 41.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed New York Liberty | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked New York Liberty | 64c | 35.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 48c | 33.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed New York Liberty | 46c | 33.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Liberty | 54c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed New York Liberty | 46c | 25.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed New York Liberty | 47c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed New York Liberty | 51c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed New York Liberty | 51c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.