WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa92ae88dd109dfa64b4418c5e0a4f0531478e471bdedcc0696130453be4669e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 44,751$21,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,270.35 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 40,555$21,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,088.6 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Over | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,407$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.26 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 51c | 3,186$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 48c | 2,926$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.73 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,030$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.5 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 928.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.48 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 493.63$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 53c | 461.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Under | 64c | 318.87$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 315.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 32c | 280.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…f1bcbacked Over | 52c | 206.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 194.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 192.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 189.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 71.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…2debbacked Over | 52c | 43.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 41.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 41.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 39.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 38.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 35.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 33.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 51c | 27.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 62c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.