WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093acc3fdbe284d2c151066169dfcaf2274aca0eee2b855c4425ac172f580508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 6,415$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.06 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,609$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.41 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,584$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.75 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 1,172$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.19 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,137$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.74 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 970.1$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 957$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 55c | 879.52$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 51c | 737.3$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 639.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 517.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 52c | 483$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 454.11$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.97 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 51c | 396.03$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 396$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 312.53$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 296.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 15c | 220.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 215.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 213.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf0…0fc5backed Over | 50c | 201.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 160.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 159.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…a4a3backed Under | 51c | 134.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 104.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 56c | 102.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 87.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 77.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 64.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 64.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 30c | 60.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 59.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 53.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 49.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 52c | 47.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 67c | 42.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 49c | 42.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…528abacked Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 55c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.