WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d957996ef898f05eb2462ce489a7a3d3500fcf8a3e3d56ef8c89c22ef026ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Golden State Valkyries, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 14,586$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 5,865$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.08 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 4,245$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.89 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 3,000$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 2,229$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.88 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 1,604$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.2 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,580$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.09 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,487$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.88 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,431$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,413$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.22 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 971.54$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.77 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 19c | 924.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 894$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 773.45$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.35 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 625.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries | 12c | 615.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 587.73$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 7c | 576.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 569.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 431.78$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden State Valkyries | 33c | 375.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 308.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 286.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 37c | 243.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 28c | 242.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 235.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 77c | 159.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 137.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 107.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 95.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 75.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 74.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 72.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 67.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…790bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 20c | 61.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Golden State Valkyries | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 48.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 42.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 77c | 37.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 32.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.