WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d8a6c789b3bae14931e5e542691b09f1502e29f75a489563e48fdaa2c7b2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 56c | 2,763$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 2,505$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 79c | 2,407$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.03 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,737$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,474$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Over | 2c | 947.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 933$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 908.09$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 894.57$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.99 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 30c | 889.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 781.6$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 705.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 571.11$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 567$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 49c | 505.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 20c | 407.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 68c | 252.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 35c | 219.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 20c | 207.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 125.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…70aebacked Over | 53c | 82.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 45c | 56.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 51.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 48.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 28.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 58c | 23.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.