WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76ba70b62302685e396f506e3cd6100a9fe16fd907dba65f18c8f2de0ca7973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,512$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 4,219$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.64 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 55c | 3,638$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,407$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.14 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,772$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.55 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 791.95$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.73 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 707.56$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 655$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 54c | 520.11$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Under | 54c | 278.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 46c | 256.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 194.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 174$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 152.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 28c | 130.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 117$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 27c | 78.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 60.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 52.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 51.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 51c | 44.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 50c | 34.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 30.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 30.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 50c | 28.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Under | 65c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 55c | 22.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.