WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d0c4b33964488f22c0b4c311735f60c4acf8a9d406bd66543da7aca4f4f235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Golden State Valkyries, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 76,000$37,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,704.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 15,381$7,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,876.28 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 14,201$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.15 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 6,462$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 3,267$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 3,267$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 3,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 2,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,335$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,924$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,711$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.5 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 1,565$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.69 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 1,509$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.16 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,314$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,125$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.25 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 1,108$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.02 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,043$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 973.04$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 972.3$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 655.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.84 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 583.38$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 553.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.27 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 443.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 380.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 377.35$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 375.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 309.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 246.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 215.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 157$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 129.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 127.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 123.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 86.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 72.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 66.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 56.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 53.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 45.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 44.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 41.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 41.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 37.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 37.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 37.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 29.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 28.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.