WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b3ba4d049fb5387c189e583f1803d9d06dab9820f505084d4bd971bcc28d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 7,491$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.36 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 5,988$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 3,260$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 3,050$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.18 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 2,228$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.39 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 2,192$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,021$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…fefbbacked Over | 47c | 1,761$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 1,282$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.45 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Under | 49c | 1,151$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 18c | 1,094$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 959.39$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.94 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 65c | 726.72$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.21 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 698$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 681$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 52c | 614.75$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 483$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 49c | 472.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 433$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 365.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 73c | 340.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 223.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 8c | 212.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 21c | 200.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Over | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…8188backed Over | 51c | 180.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 179.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 24c | 173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 170$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 160.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…5d81backed Under | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 92.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 24c | 81.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 23c | 67.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 76c | 63.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 61.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 58.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 55.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 24c | 51.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Under | 50c | 46.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…985fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 49c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 52c | 38.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 36.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Under | 49c | 34.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 52c | 30.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 30.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 53c | 28.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b9…434bbacked Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.