TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Los Angeles Sparks50c11,008$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,468.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Chicago Sky51c5,475$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.917159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky49c3,400$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.3337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks47c2,970$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.7338650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c2,868$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.31,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c2,273$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.6238645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98011457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Chicago Sky51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9913048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky47c2,000$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.1732540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Chicago Sky53c1,875$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.054339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Chicago Sky53c1,845$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.69140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky48c1,688$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks49c1,523$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.0741145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe6…4797backed Chicago Sky51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6861833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks52c1,376$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Los Angeles Sparks48c1,269$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4128647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Sparks60c1,208$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.3355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Los Angeles Sparks44c1,202$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.939827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Chicago Sky52c1,150$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.992352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky50c1,056$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0894…d819backed Chicago Sky52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33313742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Chicago Sky47c643.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Chicago Sky53c584.91$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.914443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Sparks60c574.11$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.7712661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Chicago Sky53c472.49$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5815746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b31…3e10backed Chicago Sky53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Los Angeles Sparks48c470.76$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.113026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks47c448.33$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Chicago Sky53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Los Angeles Sparks54c337.04$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c336.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16828558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf8…bf62backed Los Angeles Sparks48c279.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Chicago Sky50c239.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.223946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks61c238.72$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Los Angeles Sparks48c208.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2814345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd304…3ed2backed Los Angeles Sparks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Los Angeles Sparks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Chicago Sky47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.167732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Chicago Sky46c199.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.998038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c193.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.933354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Chicago Sky53c193$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.712948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky50c190.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Los Angeles Sparks52c180.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.995242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks49c179.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Los Angeles Sparks48c152.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.441656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Los Angeles Sparks48c135.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Los Angeles Sparks50c120.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Sparks60c110.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky50c109.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks42c105.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2334918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Los Angeles Sparks49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Chicago Sky60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Los Angeles Sparks51c97.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…cfdabacked Chicago Sky53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Los Angeles Sparks52c94.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.937945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Sparks47c86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4274942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks49c82.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Sparks49c82.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2661547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Los Angeles Sparks55c74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.593040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky49c73.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4732948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Los Angeles Sparks49c70.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5412359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Chicago Sky54c60.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.141735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Sky46c59.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0825246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky48c57.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks52c55.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8930347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Chicago Sky44c53.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7713138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks48c52.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257669.7%53 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chicago Sky52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Sparks51c49.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2220340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Los Angeles Sparks47c40.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Los Angeles Sparks48c40.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Los Angeles Sparks49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Los Angeles Sparks63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Sky48c39.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4330734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Chicago Sky53c38.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.326155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed Los Angeles Sparks49c38.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Chicago Sky52c38.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.119336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Los Angeles Sparks53c35.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7810853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Sparks48c35.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.838748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky50c33.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9983748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Los Angeles Sparks49c30.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.125168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Chicago Sky50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155238.5%20 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Los Angeles Sparks53c29.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.544942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Chicago Sky51c29.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3426054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Chicago Sky50c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky51c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2432750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Sparks50c24.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.424656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Los Angeles Sparks61c24.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Sparks52c22.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7419245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Chicago Sky53c21.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Los Angeles Sparks50c21.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5915453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Chicago Sky51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Chicago Sky51c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Los Angeles Sparks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3945…ca75backed Los Angeles Sparks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Chicago Sky61c17.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.628556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.