WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47453af001a71b5a7a4143a58dfa9a6f753117a3d4f29c36dc2dd0894e884d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 8,993$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 8,649$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.56 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 5,210$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.29 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 4,099$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.37 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 3,666$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.21 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,890$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,654$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,463$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.92 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,956$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,899$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.44 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,628$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.11 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,168$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.83 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Los Angeles Sparks | 34c | 883.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 876.06$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.52 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 843.02$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.72 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 611.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 602.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 461.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 353.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 254.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 243.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 242.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 238.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 212.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 201.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…722bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Sky | 40c | 177.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…2ba2backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 148.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 147.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 129.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 56.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 55.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 28.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 28.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 23.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 22.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 21.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 19.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 188.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.