WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe940a1cf466b1eb7548e5ab81ffeefda592f453232e8d26df165d36a91711cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 10,115$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 3,729$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.92 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 45c | 2,007$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.17 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 48c | 1,768$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.55 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 5c | 1,562$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 47c | 900$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 869.3$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.39 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 848.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Over | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 45c | 552.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 512$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 38c | 400.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 32c | 240.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 239.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 54c | 133.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…62c0backed Over | 47c | 133.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 97.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 95.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 45c | 95.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 88.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 88.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 48c | 63.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 63.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 24c | 57.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 47c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 25.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Over | 50c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked Over | 47c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 53c | 23.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 188.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.