Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab18495665298dab9d1e86e20cbb883c5a4ae4ede9f2dbc8b2c784eba59238d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof No Hoodwink, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 1,663$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.26 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 946.67$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.14 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 840$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked No Hoodwink | 40c | 749.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 604.79$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 601.14$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked No Hoodwink | 23c | 600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 527.53$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.01 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 443.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No Hoodwink | 6c | 421.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked No Hoodwink | 38c | 410.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 400$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No Hoodwink | 40c | 381.72$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 376.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 336.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 322.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 311$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 250.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No Hoodwink | 41c | 238.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed No Hoodwink | 19c | 207.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 200.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 185.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked No Hoodwink | 40c | 181$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed No Hoodwink | 24c | 146.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 130.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 123.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 110.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 107.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No Hoodwink | 42c | 104.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…f8e5backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 88.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed No Hoodwink | 23c | 78.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…801fbacked No Hoodwink | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…6645backed No Hoodwink | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 57.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked No Hoodwink | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No Hoodwink | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…de4cbacked No Hoodwink | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…bdf6backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No Hoodwink | 43c | 35.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 23.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 21.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.