Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb923972851bf14f9f23eae636473626572224379f8b147b06cd3cb101c031f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof No Hoodwink, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked No Hoodwink | 16c | 1,401$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked No Hoodwink | 10c | 1,033$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked No Hoodwink | 46c | 716.73$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.7 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 641.58$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.06 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…ffd1backed No Hoodwink | 14c | 635.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed No Hoodwink | 5c | 553.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 314.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 275.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No Hoodwink | 10c | 202.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed No Hoodwink | 45c | 201.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked No Hoodwink | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No Hoodwink | 21c | 197.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 170.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed No Hoodwink | 14c | 145.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed No Hoodwink | 13c | 141.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed No Hoodwink | 11c | 141.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked No Hoodwink | 12c | 125.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No Hoodwink | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed No Hoodwink | 41c | 109.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked No Hoodwink | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No Hoodwink | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No Hoodwink | 30c | 88.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 83.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed No Hoodwink | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No Hoodwink | 22c | 63.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No Hoodwink | 17c | 60.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked No Hoodwink | 43c | 58.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No Hoodwink | 20c | 55.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No Hoodwink | 22c | 47.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 20.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.