TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof No Hoodwink, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity61c3,279$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.191,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Zero Tenacity72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.4412263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed No Hoodwink41c2,962$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed No Hoodwink47c2,140$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked No Hoodwink40c1,736$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.1595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity56c1,666$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.8879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed No Hoodwink23c1,200$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8943738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ee…ffe2backed No Hoodwink29c1,021$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity59c799.98$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9915050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked No Hoodwink55c751.51$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41120859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zero Tenacity58c740.76$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.338142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked No Hoodwink38c715.28$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8131055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity56c702.5$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed No Hoodwink45c668.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked No Hoodwink18c627.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11612252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity57c545.58$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.640644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed No Hoodwink38c519.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3758356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked No Hoodwink49c500$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Zero Tenacity57c494.75$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7522450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Zero Tenacity65c463.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.459535.8%34 W · 61 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked No Hoodwink44c451.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity61c449.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked No Hoodwink10c404.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed No Hoodwink28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b6…f6ffbacked No Hoodwink29c330.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No Hoodwink44c298.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.711,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Zero Tenacity63c294.51$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7710251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed No Hoodwink51c292$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8724138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4436…ffd1backed No Hoodwink39c255.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed No Hoodwink38c238.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed No Hoodwink39c230.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0423562.1%146 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Zero Tenacity63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…95e2backed No Hoodwink31c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.55728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Zero Tenacity49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked No Hoodwink39c188.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7270052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity57c179.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1681345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed No Hoodwink51c172.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4842660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Zero Tenacity49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7211445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked No Hoodwink9c170.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9931052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1cf…9ab4backed No Hoodwink49c167.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.47263.9%46 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Zero Tenacity49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.613044.6%58 W · 72 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6c…776fbacked Zero Tenacity64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity66c151.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4848057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked Zero Tenacity63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5616361.3%100 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed No Hoodwink46c144.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2819547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked No Hoodwink28c141.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6412646%58 W · 68 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127d…4706backed Zero Tenacity63c137.54$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.623063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked No Hoodwink41c135.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.711747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Zero Tenacity63c130.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1362650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.350247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed No Hoodwink37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed No Hoodwink39c104.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1742639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity59c100.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked No Hoodwink42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212860.9%78 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a08…ebdcbacked Zero Tenacity50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zero Tenacity68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7542146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3732445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Zero Tenacity49c98.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3311444.7%51 W · 63 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity56c92.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.391553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e4…b74dbacked No Hoodwink41c90.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.064634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed No Hoodwink33c89.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.526550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity57c85.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No Hoodwink44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1752950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity53c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4966545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed No Hoodwink33c68.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9415648.7%76 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity62c68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0265863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed No Hoodwink46c65.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018550.8%94 W · 91 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed Zero Tenacity62c64.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7314861.5%91 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Zero Tenacity62c53.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4912559.2%74 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed No Hoodwink27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514543.4%63 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No Hoodwink42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209239.1%36 W · 56 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Zero Tenacity68c43.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8610635.8%38 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed No Hoodwink46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208532.9%28 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed No Hoodwink39c38.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0752046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…71cebacked Zero Tenacity65c36.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8213348.1%64 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked No Hoodwink45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No Hoodwink34c34.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Zero Tenacity63c27.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1527459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf23…6b34backed Zero Tenacity65c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Zero Tenacity62c26.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2210833.3%36 W · 72 L-13.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Zero Tenacity51c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6321344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked No Hoodwink40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105558.2%32 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Zero Tenacity55c20.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2853538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Zero Tenacity64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.266947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3856945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Zero Tenacity62c16.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.