World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa198b62a0e477c2ad5e56579e3c70ae37a6cfb2f1e623cc921d272ea172f55fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e10…a68abacked Yes | 50c | 827.45$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 54c | 596.65$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 48c | 380.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 356.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 49c | 245.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…5a89backed Yes | 49c | 232.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Yes | 62c | 211.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 49c | 203.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 70c | 199.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 53c | 192.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 48c | 185.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 181$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 67c | 168.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 46c | 156.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 33c | 156.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…12eebacked Yes | 47c | 155.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 153.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 80c | 151.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 139.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 49c | 139.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 128.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 118.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…c0f9backed Yes | 51c | 118.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 51c | 113.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…38bcbacked No | 55c | 112.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 54c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 54c | 109.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 18c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 107.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 52c | 105.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 57c | 103.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b535backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 45c | 97.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 56c | 96.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 56c | 87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 47c | 86.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 85.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 52c | 83.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…f896backed Yes | 35c | 83.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 82.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 57c | 81.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 57c | 80.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 60c | 79.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 78.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 73c | 76.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 53c | 76.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c2c8backed Yes | 52c | 76.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 50c | 73.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 55c | 71.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 52c | 70.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 46c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 47c | 69.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 52c | 68.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 65.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 54c | 64.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 47c | 64.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 63.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 46c | 62.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 61.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 60.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 54c | 60.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 22c | 59.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 41c | 53.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…0b8fbacked Yes | 75c | 52.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 51c | 51.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 51.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 40c | 49.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 45.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 49c | 44.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 59c | 43.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 57c | 43.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 30c | 42.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…a908backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 60c | 38.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 59c | 38.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…d749backed No | 48c | 38.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…a093backed Yes | 54c | 37.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.