World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb784967bdc45df87b4bf3f90b06c6046846d25069a4fec937acdbf3d74d448f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 21c | 510.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 30c | 388.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 29c | 305.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 304.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 17c | 303.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…6cfebacked Yes | 35c | 287.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 25c | 283.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 78c | 272.14$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 72c | 262.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 232.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 204.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 68c | 197$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 20c | 194.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed No | 73c | 188.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 181$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 175$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 165$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 161$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b535backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 156.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 29c | 143.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 22c | 139.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 138.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 73c | 131.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…12eebacked Yes | 29c | 130.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 26c | 126.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 111.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 18c | 110.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 69c | 106.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 16c | 105.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 69c | 104.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 70c | 104.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 27c | 104.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 103.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 102.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 100.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 90.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 27c | 87.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 85.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 78.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 69c | 78.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 30c | 76.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…dfd5backed Yes | 13c | 74.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 27c | 72.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 69.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 77c | 67.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 76c | 67.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 30c | 66.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 62.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 67c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…f951backed Yes | 32c | 57.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 54.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 30c | 52.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 33c | 52.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 28c | 51.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 24c | 50.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 50.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 28c | 50.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 75c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 31c | 43.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…33c6backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 33c | 39.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 32c | 34.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 32.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 29.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked No | 75c | 29.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 76c | 27.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed No | 73c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0173…d05dbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.