Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe699fc8a8e316bc992a32e93d42cce8c5c0ef79d0198957c65a93597156127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesco Passaroof Shintaro Mochizuki, Francesco Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 47c | 22,010$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,279.85 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 10,465$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.72 | 386 | 47.4%183 W · 203 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Passaro | 45c | 8,384$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.77 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Passaro | 42c | 5,933$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.31 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 38c | 4,094$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.21 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 4c | 4,081$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 3,886$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.27 | 1,295 | 56.6%733 W · 562 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 3,672$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Francesco Passaro | 71c | 2,835$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.69 | 780 | 55.4%432 W · 348 L | +52.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesco Passaro | 63c | 2,759$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.15 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Francesco Passaro | 48c | 2,400$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.2 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 2,265$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.9 | 2,925 | 39.6%1,158 W · 1,767 L | -85.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 1,849$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.52 | 1,218 | 49.2%599 W · 619 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesco Passaro | 41c | 1,845$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.26 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Francesco Passaro | 53c | 1,656$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.09 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.91 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesco Passaro | 47c | 1,393$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.94 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 1,357$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 407 | 56%228 W · 179 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 5c | 1,157$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 188 | 22.9%43 W · 145 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Francesco Passaro | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1,709 | 50.6%864 W · 845 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Francesco Passaro | 47c | 999$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.14 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Francesco Passaro | 28c | 993.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.82 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb3…04dbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 937.55$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…10fabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 880.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Francesco Passaro | 70c | 676$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 488 | 57.6%281 W · 207 L | +33.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Francesco Passaro | 46c | 648.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 921 | 49.8%459 W · 462 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Francesco Passaro | 45c | 589.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 2,369 | 52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L | +87.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 555.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 493.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesco Passaro | 45c | 450.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 435.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Francesco Passaro | 47c | 405.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 479 | 55.1%264 W · 215 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Francesco Passaro | 47c | 385.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +38.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 382.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 363.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 2,882 | 47.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L | +39.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,142 | 28.2%322 W · 820 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Passaro | 46c | 334$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Francesco Passaro | 44c | 282.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 1,121 | 52.2%585 W · 536 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Francesco Passaro | 55c | 270.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 606 | 41.3%250 W · 356 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 384 | 43.8%168 W · 216 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…25a8backed Francesco Passaro | 74c | 250.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 246.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 281 | 32.4%91 W · 190 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 217.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 745 | 58.5%436 W · 309 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 217.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 203.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 547 | 41.7%228 W · 319 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -21.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 188.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 188.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 53.8%148 W · 127 L | +19.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ee8ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 162.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 159.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Francesco Passaro | 58c | 158.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 559 | 46.3%259 W · 300 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Francesco Passaro | 67c | 153$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Francesco Passaro | 57c | 150.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 149.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 1,522 | 43.9%668 W · 854 L | -26.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 148.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Francesco Passaro | 47c | 137.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Francesco Passaro | 47c | 124.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 3,752 | 45.3%1,700 W · 2,052 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…f674backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 118.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 437 | 47.1%206 W · 231 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…719cbacked Francesco Passaro | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 105.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francesco Passaro | 47c | 104.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Francesco Passaro | 34c | 103.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 1,947 | 44%856 W · 1,091 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 101.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1,733 | 48.4%839 W · 894 L | +40.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 91.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Francesco Passaro | 58c | 89.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,324 | 64.7%857 W · 467 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 481 | 39.9%192 W · 289 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Francesco Passaro | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,917 | 59.3%1,136 W · 781 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 246 | 41.5%102 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Francesco Passaro | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 381 | 39.6%151 W · 230 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,012 | 39.1%396 W · 616 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 568 | 57.7%328 W · 240 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 71c | 45.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…44ddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5,377 | 28.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Francesco Passaro | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…f8b9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 39.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…1bd4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 37.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…2e2cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Francesco Passaro | 54c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Francesco Passaro | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 442 | 49.1%217 W · 225 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Francesco Passaro | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 194 | 87.6%170 W · 24 L | +41.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…9095backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…61dbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 26.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passarothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs PassaroPassaro won
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Completed Match: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco PassaroYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.