Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b1be9ff6062e84e37d4d0a2179f6fb074f10f70ff39de081eff053a0c3f066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 40c | 321.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc90…6c55backed No | 45c | 240.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 47c | 236.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 195.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 187.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 6c | 177.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 68c | 157.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 139.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 14c | 135.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 50c | 133.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 57c | 126.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 119.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 118.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 112.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 58c | 111.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 105.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 44c | 105.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…ee63backed Yes | 51c | 101.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 50c | 100.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…d0f6backed Yes | 65c | 86.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 28c | 84.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 52c | 76.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 75.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 45c | 71.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 46c | 70.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 48c | 70.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 57c | 68.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 47c | 55.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 34c | 55.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 53c | 55.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…3a35backed Yes | 56c | 53.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…9e40backed Yes | 57c | 53.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 61c | 51.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bd…72e2backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 20c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 54c | 44.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 43.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 41.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bdafbacked Yes | 52c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 50c | 40.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 48c | 40.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 62c | 40.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 48c | 39.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 38.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed Yes | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 43c | 34.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…de0cbacked Yes | 55c | 34.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 53c | 34.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 57c | 34.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 53c | 33.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 50c | 31.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…4e2dbacked Yes | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…7db5backed Yes | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 61c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…bc87backed No | 52c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…b31dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 57c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 50c | 28.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 56c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 79c | 26.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 77c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 41c | 25.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 44c | 24.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 54c | 23.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…2129backed No | 46c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3225…d1cfbacked Yes | 64c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 15.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…7d6fbacked Yes | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.