Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70f3cae22915d8dbee70906a07da4deadef29140e1b23fe42ce877394bac2ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 309.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 32c | 292.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 233.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 73c | 192.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 187.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 68c | 161.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 138.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…b5dabacked Yes | 33c | 129.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 78c | 128.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 106$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 105.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 75c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 36c | 86.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 37c | 80.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 80.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e320backed Yes | 28c | 73.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 29c | 73.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 68c | 72.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked Yes | 30c | 69.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6732backed Yes | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 75c | 66.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 66.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 27c | 64.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…4caabacked No | 77c | 64.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 20c | 63.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 62.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 33c | 61.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 71c | 57.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 55.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 67c | 55.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 53.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…43a7backed No | 63c | 53.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 66c | 52.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 52.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…0087backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…3b5dbacked Yes | 31c | 49.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 49.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…f457backed Yes | 32c | 46.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 24c | 43.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 80c | 43.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 29c | 42.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 34c | 42.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 233 | 34.3%80 W · 153 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d8d3backed No | 72c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 31c | 40.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 40.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bdafbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 29c | 38.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed Yes | 30c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…1199backed Yes | 28c | 37.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…d4dabacked No | 69c | 34.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +8.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…818ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 71c | 28.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 63c | 23.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 66c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 66c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 64c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 71c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 72c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 76c | 20.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…bbeabacked No | 73c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…d14abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 67c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 73c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…a285backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 78c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 65c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.