Europa Conference League · resolved market
NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5a75809f8e05bcb9f82466dca1628fc15535a950515a4420922cec1db53efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 78c | 6,697$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.97 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 6,570$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 56c | 2,782$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,170$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.02 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 54c | 1,130$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 836.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.8 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 831$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 19c | 666.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.79 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 663.61$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 41c | 449.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 449.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 26c | 349.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 291.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 25c | 252.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 60c | 241.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Over | 67c | 224.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 170.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 60c | 161.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 152.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked Over | 51c | 152.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 140.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 48c | 132.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 75c | 119.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 117.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 25c | 107.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 33c | 103.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 75c | 74.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…866abacked Over | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Under | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 55.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Under | 25c | 41.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 72c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 33.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 73c | 20.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5this page
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: NK Aluminij O/U 0.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)NK Aluminij won
- Spread: NK Aluminij (-1.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.