Europa Conference League · resolved market
NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e224ef2331a39cc3bff1840ae1d9e1656e781f1c3538b6549ed0bd00e80475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 5,670$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.21 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 5,552$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 58c | 5,389$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 3,348$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,378$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 42c | 1,149$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.47 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 41c | 834$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 639$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 39c | 628.89$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 48c | 626$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 482$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.44 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 56c | 346.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 346.41$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 305.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 275.96$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 226.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 223.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 42c | 217.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 42c | 209$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 178.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 42c | 176.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 60c | 165.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 60c | 144.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 133.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 101.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 42c | 95.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 42c | 95.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 90.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 86.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 39c | 81.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 42c | 71.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 59c | 67.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 62.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 47.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 57c | 43.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 80c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 42c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a00…8c6dbacked Over | 42c | 33.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 41c | 32.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 42c | 28.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 2.5this page
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: NK Aluminij O/U 0.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 0.5Over won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 1.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 3.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 4.5Under won
- NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)NK Aluminij won
- Spread: NK Aluminij (-1.5)FC Sheriff Tiraspol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.