TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No77c19,576$15,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.742,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes30c18,333$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5003246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c13,825$5,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,806.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No39c6,116$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.791,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c5,414$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1964,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes64c4,885$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.2218259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes30c4,501$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.891,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No71c3,988$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.529763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No31c3,826$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.5929253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No71c2,700$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78311945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No71c2,434$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes11c2,339$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.561,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes64c2,271$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.011,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes39c2,173$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+123.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes65c1,730$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.728736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c1,475$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No70c1,385$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes43c1,197$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c1,100$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.239156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes30c1,011$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c766$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes12c723.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0415238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes29c719.88$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.766150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes40c681.77$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.264641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c494.3$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3514754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes25c478.16$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…7640backed Yes69c457.57$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes65c427.07$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d3…cc60backed Yes62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c399.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9918551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No58c346.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No59c296.89$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9921965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2200…684fbacked Yes30c296.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c253.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.461,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No70c242.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.896053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c240.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.854564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes21c209.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1213941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No70c206.13$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8411846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No65c204$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.068563.5%54 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565038%19 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes27c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5123531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.32751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No51c147.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.488145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.858942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.282763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc8c9…b445backed Yes29c135.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22556%14 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes68c135.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c130.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.997176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes29c119.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1523435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…1f3dbacked Yes72c115.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No70c112.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968f…422dbacked Yes71c111.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked No70c103.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd85b…fd58backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No63c80.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.787560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.540157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes29c73.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.899625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c71.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3520858.7%122 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Yes30c67.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9821…f62ebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed No33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42a…e208backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes30c56.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e0…b240backed No75c56.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.156100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked No70c53.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.