Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a895bd7a478c9224ad4200221fdb7707545f6cd2dac1a8d14441824c3f013c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 191.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 54c | 122.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 25c | 121.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 56c | 115.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 58c | 107.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 99.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…60f3backed Over | 56c | 63.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…c8dfbacked Under | 45c | 58.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…a782backed Under | 46c | 37.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…f551backed Over | 56c | 30.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 44c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 27.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0b59backed Over | 56c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 63c | 26.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…9b69backed Under | 46c | 26.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 26.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.