Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cd7010ac9132fd15ef1faab06d2ccf1e472fd8cd6d155b8a13512f69ce65d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 19c | 36,923$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.34 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 33,304$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.26 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 24c | 24,401$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828.82 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 16c | 23,887$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 22,583$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.89 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 20c | 20,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 79c | 9,980$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 8,002$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.59 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 7,932$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.97 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 3,888$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 80c | 3,777$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 80c | 2,671$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 17c | 2,630$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 80c | 2,199$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.76 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 19c | 1,952$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 19c | 1,344$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 14c | 1,320$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 76c | 1,317$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 78c | 1,204$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 16c | 1,149$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 1,130$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 15c | 1,087$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 16c | 1,014$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 19c | 620$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…8223backed Yes | 80c | 575$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Yes | 80c | 565.63$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 502.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 16c | 427$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 74c | 423.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 13c | 387.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 77c | 327.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 77c | 236.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 17c | 228.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 75c | 215.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 18c | 187.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 16c | 169.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed No | 26c | 155.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…9783backed Yes | 80c | 151.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 142.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Yes | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 20c | 122.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 20c | 102.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 17c | 74.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3203…d145backed Yes | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…9adfbacked Yes | 75c | 53.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…468fbacked Yes | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…8f30backed Yes | 80c | 23.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…679bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.